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  • Clint Warren

The Truth about Bad Arguments

In an inductive argument, the conclusion is not logically guaranteed by the premises, but rather is supported by them. Therefore, it is possible for the conclusion to be true even if the argument contains fallacies or the inferential link between premises and conclusion appears weak.

Fallacies are errors in reasoning that can occur in arguments, and they can weaken the strength of an argument. However, the conclusion can still be true even if a fallacy is present. For example, consider the following argument:


Premise 1: All cats have hair.

Premise 2: My donkey has hair.

Conclusion: Therefore, my donkey is a cat.


This argument contains a fallacy known as the fallacy of equivocation, which is when a term is used in different senses within the same argument. In this case, the term "fur" is used to describe both cats and dogs, but it means something different in each context. Despite this fallacy, the conclusion that "my dog is a cat" is false.


Similarly, even if the inferential link between the premises and conclusion appears weak, the conclusion can still be true. For example, consider the following argument:


Premise 1: Every time I wear my lucky hat, my team wins.

Premise 2: I am wearing my lucky hat today.

Conclusion: Therefore, my team will win today.


This argument relies on a correlation between wearing the lucky hat and winning, but the connection is not logically necessary. Nevertheless, it is possible that the conclusion is true - perhaps the hat really is lucky and the team will win.


In general, the strength of an inductive argument depends on the quality of the evidence provided by the premises. The more reliable and relevant the evidence, the stronger the argument. However, even a weak argument can still provide some support for the conclusion, and the conclusion can still be true even if the argument contains fallacies or the inferential link between premises and conclusion is weak.





Produced by Clint Warren - Aided by ChatGPT


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